Here’s Scott Alexander grading his Trump predictions, and then assessing his grading performance:
“…there will be plenty of people to tell you so.” But you would do better if you can internalise them. And you should be open to the possibility that they are right and you are wrong, and being aware of biases can help with that.
Yup, being aware of bias is fine. But shutting yourself up because you worry about being an imperfect reasoner is unwise.
“…there will be plenty of people to tell you so.” But you would do better if you can internalise them. And you should be open to the possibility that they are right and you are wrong, and being aware of biases can help with that.
Yup, being aware of bias is fine. But shutting yourself up because you worry about being an imperfect reasoner is unwise.