> The first is the rock falling down a mountain. It starts with one big, random event. This then triggers other events, and they trigger others, and now you have an unstoppable landslide. But the chance is at the start.
This explanation is still unsatisfying, why should all the (unmittened?) consequences of the ban on cousin marriage all favor prosperity? That's also a version of the all the coin-flips coming up heads problem.
Well, there’s a story about how the cousin marriage ban changes a big fundamental institution and so that does a lot, all in one direction (less clannishness, more individualism). Read the book and decide if you buy that! I express some doubts above but it’s definitely worth the ride.
> The first is the rock falling down a mountain. It starts with one big, random event. This then triggers other events, and they trigger others, and now you have an unstoppable landslide. But the chance is at the start.
This explanation is still unsatisfying, why should all the (unmittened?) consequences of the ban on cousin marriage all favor prosperity? That's also a version of the all the coin-flips coming up heads problem.
Well, there’s a story about how the cousin marriage ban changes a big fundamental institution and so that does a lot, all in one direction (less clannishness, more individualism). Read the book and decide if you buy that! I express some doubts above but it’s definitely worth the ride.